Lascalles, Alex (2009) Potential impact of rising sea level on land ownership and government planning. [USQ Project]
PDF
Lascalles_2009.pdf Download (3MB) |
Abstract
Climate change and consequent sea level rises over the next century will create major challenges for regulators determining land use. In excess of 150 million people
worldwide live within one metre of mean high water mark (MHWM). Many populated areas in Australia will face challenges associated with rising sea levels in
the next century.
This study seeks to model the potential impact of rising sea levels on two sample parcels of land in the Great Lakes and Lake Macquarie areas of New South Wales, based on anticipated changes to MHWM. It will also explore the consequences for land ownership where boundaries are defined by MHWM using the principles outlined in the Doctrine of Erosion and Accretion.
While there is a range of scientific opinion on the scope and speed of climate change, ranging from quite small to the catastrophic, this study has accepted the models
developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) and regional variations for the east coast of Australia proposed by the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation.
Anticipated sea level rises will cause inundation of low-lying land in many areas of the world including Australia. There will be a landward migration of MHWM creating ownership issues for landowners and planning issues for government and regulatory bodies. Regulatory bodies will need to proceed cautiously with future land use to avoid legal liability for a foreseen event
Statistics for this ePrint Item |
Actions (login required)
Archive Repository Staff Only |